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Hazard Risk Per Resident — By Jurisdiction
The same FEMA data, ranked by expected annual loss per resident instead of the county total -- so a small county with real exposure isn't buried under a handful of huge ones. Shown alongside Social Vulnerability and Community Resilience: what actually separates a bad storm from a catastrophe.
A raw total rewards scale — a huge county racks up a bigger number partly because there's simply more there to lose, not because any one resident faces more danger. Dividing by population fixes that. But the dollar figure alone still isn't the whole story: Social Vulnerability and Community Resilience are what actually separate a bad storm from a catastrophe — Hurricane Katrina made landfall as "only" a strong Category 3, and it became the deadliest disaster in this dataset's memory because of who could evacuate and whether the levees held, not because the wind was unsurvivable. Money buys mobility — a car, a place to go, the ability to miss work — so Lack of Reliable Transportation (the share of adults without it) is shown alongside as the closest available read on who actually can't leave. A high resilience score today can reflect real rebuilding since a past disaster, not a claim that the disaster didn't happen.

A small county landing near the top of this list isn't a math artifact to wave away — it's a different kind of signal than a big county in the same spot. The same dollar total that would barely register against Los Angeles's economy can be a meaningful share of a small county's whole tax base, workforce, or population. A high per-resident number in a small place isn't necessarily "this individual is in more danger" — it's closer to "one bad year could reshape this place's economy or its culture," which a huge, diverse county can absorb in a way a small one can't. Population is shown for every row so you can read the number in that context, not to discount it.
31 jurisdictions ranked, highest expected loss per resident first
# Jurisdiction Expected Loss / Resident / Yr Population Counties Social Vulnerability Community Resilience Lacks Transportation
1 Alaska (AK) $1,279 735,706 30 27.1 26.2 9.3%
2 California (CA) $769 39,287,377 58 39.6 33.9 9.6%
3 Hawaii (HI) $744 1,445,235 5 31.9 65.6 8.1%
4 Louisiana (LA) $726 4,611,961 64 65.8 70.0 11.8%
5 Montana (MT) $709 1,116,875 56 31.7 58.5 8.1%
6 Nebraska (NE) $676 1,978,707 93 19.5 72.3 7.0%
7 Missouri (MO) $636 6,191,814 115 32.4 64.3 8.8%
8 Kansas (KS) $604 2,947,197 105 26.4 67.7 7.5%
9 Arkansas (AR) $580 3,049,391 75 56.6 42.3 10.3%
10 Iowa (IA) $571 3,210,507 99 23.2 86.7 7.2%
11 Mississippi (MS) $556 2,946,779 82 68.5 52.9 12.5%
12 Kentucky (KY) $521 4,534,824 120 48.7 59.6 —
13 Illinois (IL) $505 12,694,798 102 42.0 77.4 8.4%
14 Alabama (AL) $493 5,086,768 67 58.5 59.9 10.3%
15 Arizona (AZ) $488 7,378,838 15 40.5 16.9 9.2%
16 Minnesota (MN) $450 5,739,445 87 22.0 93.9 7.4%
17 New Mexico (NM) $444 1,362,014 18 57.2 24.4 11.8%
18 Nevada (NV) $431 3,184,612 17 42.0 12.6 10.4%
19 District of Columbia (DC) $429 681,294 1 40.9 93.3 7.8%
20 Idaho (ID) $397 1,934,262 44 21.3 54.9 7.8%
21 Florida (FL) $392 22,416,077 67 52.3 37.5 —
22 Delaware (DE) $369 1,021,191 3 39.7 74.5 8.3%
23 Colorado (CO) $369 5,862,189 64 17.4 59.0 —
24 Indiana (IN) $346 6,851,073 92 35.1 71.7 8.1%
25 New Jersey (NJ) $344 9,343,809 21 44.6 66.2 7.8%
26 New Hampshire (NH) $332 1,394,868 10 15.3 72.0 6.1%
27 Georgia (GA) $306 10,940,407 159 34.3 42.3 9.8%
28 Maine (ME) $300 1,387,817 16 28.2 87.1 8.5%
29 Michigan (MI) $283 10,077,761 83 39.7 82.0 8.8%
30 Massachusetts (MA) $210 7,044,056 14 30.1 90.7 7.9%
31 Maryland (MD) $171 6,206,011 24 30.8 72.7 8.2%